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has come under greater scrutiny following Epstein's arrest last month. Dershowitz, an emeritus Harvard University law professor, is also fending off a defamation suit filed by set for key oral arguments next month, in which Boies has become a vital player. Because Epstein's death will end his criminal case, the defamation action against Dershowitz could be one of the dwindling number of cases that would allow for the full public airing of numerous accusations against Epstein that his alleged victims have long sought." Trump 'tired' of taxpayers paying for immigrants -- The "Send her back!" chant continues to reverberate in Greenville, N.C., where Trump held a rally weeks before the El Paso shootings. For some voters there, the chant echoes as a prelude to murder. Griff Witte reports: "Samar Badwan, a Greenville resident, watched that day as 8,000 neighbors and fellow citizens jammed a local basketball arena to serenade the president with chants of `Send her back,' a response to Trump's insistence that a Muslim, Somali American congresswoman should `go back' to the land of her birth. Before that day, Badwan had never had to question whether her hijab was incompatible with her Southern drawl. She never had to fear that her North Carolina neighbors might hold her Palestinian heritage against her. She never had to think that in Greenville — a city she has been proud to call home for 30 years, raising three children along the way — her faith would mark her as an unwanted outsider. Then the president came to town." Page 12932 EFTA00043443
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-- A little girl begged for her father's release after he was captured during the ICE raids in Mississippi. A week later, he's still detained. From CNN: "Andres Gomez-Jorge is being held at the Adams County Correctional Facility in Natchez, Mississippi. His family spoke on the phone with him briefly Tuesday for the first time since his arrest. The call came hours after CNN published a story saying that the family didn't know his whereabouts and feared for his well-being." -- U.S. citizens are lining up for jobs in rural Mississippi that have opened up because of the ICE raids, which resulted in the arrest of hundreds of immigrant workers. Jonnelle Marte reports: "In a state where the poultry industry is one of the biggest drivers of the economy, some of the job applicants said they hoped the opportunities at Koch Foods, one of the meatpacking plants targeted by the raids, would improve their finances in both substantial and incremental ways. They arrived seeking a steadier paycheck. A slightly higher wage. A more accommodating schedule. ... Even as many of the job hunters pondered the ways the chicken-processing jobs might bring them more stability, many of the workers — who were required to bring two forms of identification to the job fair — said they sympathized with the [detained employees] ... Their sentiments challenge the narratives that typically drive the immigration debate in the United States, pitting undocumented workers against Americans seeking opportunity." Page 12933 EFTA00043444
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-- D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser (D) said she will not accept a federal government plan to house unaccompanied migrant children in Washington. Fenit Nirappil reports: "Bowser was reacting to an application from Dynamic Service Solutions, a federal contractor, to open a temporary shelter for children in the District. The company has been advertising job listings for educators, caseworkers and medical staff members to work with 'unaccompanied alien' children in the nation's capital. ... The proposed facility would house as many as 242 children, according to a person familiar with the contractor's application to the city. Some members of the D.C. Council said they were under the impression that the shelter would be located on private property in Takoma, a Northwest D.C. neighborhood near the Maryland border." -- A House panel with jurisdiction over firearms is expected to return early from recess to vote on new gun-control measures. "But there's one problem: Democrats are privately sparring over what exactly to approve," Rachael Bade and Paul Kane report. "House Democrats universally agree on expanding background checks, legislation they easily passed in February. They've also coalesced around proposals restricting high-capacity magazines, instituting `red flag' laws that keep guns from individuals showing warning signs of violence, and potentially even legislation on hate crimes — ideas the House Judiciary Committee is expected to consider the week of Labor Day, according to two people familiar with the f. .11 ;,-. Page 12934 EFTA00043445
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pica vveen UCIUIC LI IC I Ull I IUUJC IJ Ul I iutaity ICUUICU LU return. But there's still disagreement on whether the House should advance legislation reinstating an assault weapons ban that expired 15 years ago." -- Gun-control groups are trying to build on the momentum after El Paso and Dayton. Amy B Wang. Tom Hamburger, Josh Dawsey and Marissa J. Lang repod: 'People are fed up. This keeps on happening,' Christian Heyne, vice president of policy for the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence. `The response to this from a small few people in one body of our federal government of Congress is the same. That's unbelievably frustrating.' Simultaneously, the groups are emboldened by what they see as a vacuum created by turmoil within the National Rifle Association. (The NRA denies its influence is slipping and has been talking directly to the president and others in the White House.) Gun-control activists are also aware of - if not completely reassured by — Trump's comments that he would support expanded background checks." -- FBI agents found 25 guns and 10,000 rounds of ammunition in an Ohio teen's bedroom after he threatened to assault a law enforcement officer. From WGN-TV: "According to court documents, the user posted a threat to assault federal law enforcement officers writing, `shoot every agent on sight,' in a discussion about the Branch Davidian standoff in Waco in 1993." -- "It's been 5 years since a police officer killed my son, Michael Brown. Nothing has changed." Lezley Page 12935 EFTA00043446
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McSpadden, the chief executive and founder of the Michael O.D. Brown Foundation, writes in an op-ed for The Post: "For many young black and brown people, the police too often feel like an occupying force in their neighborhoods instead of a force for good. A new study of young adults from the GenForward Survey at the University of Chicago found that while most white young adults believe you can trust the police 'always' or 'often' to do what is right, less than a third of young African Americans believe the same. Similarly, nearly half of African Americans ages 18 to 36 say they 'always' or 'often' go out of their way to avoid contact with the police or other law enforcement, compared with slightly more than a quarter of white young adults." -- The New York Times demoted its congressional editor after he made problematic comments on Twitter. Paul Farhi reports: "The editor, Jonathan Weisman, came under fire for tweets questioning whether Reps. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) and Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) actually represented the Midwest and whether Reps. Lloyd Doggett (D-Tex.) and John Lewis (D-Ga.) represented the Deep South, given that their districts are primarily urban and heavily minority. Weisman said he was questioning whether the districts truly reflected the broader politics of their regions, which are predominantly white and more rural. He deleted the tweets after they were roundly criticized as racist. He later asked author and Times contributor Roxane Gay for an `enormous apology' in an email after she called him out for those tweets and for criticizing him for identifying another conoresswoman as African American without Page 12936 EFTA00043447
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mentioning that her primary challenger is also African American. Gay posted Weisman's email to her and her assistant and criticized him for his `audacity and entitlement' for contacting her and her publisher to demand the apology. A Times spokeswoman, Eileen Murphy, said Weisman had apologized to Executive Editor Dean Baguet for `his recent serious lapses in judgment,' but that he has been demoted and will no longer edit the newspaper's coverage of Congress. The Times didn't specify what Weisman's duties will be. The paper also said he would no longer be active on social media." QUOTE OF THE DAY: "Give me your tired and your poor who can stand on their own two feet and who will not become a public charge," said Ken Cuccinelli, the acting director of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, in a twist of Emma Lazarus's famous words etched on the Statue of Liberty. Cuccinelli added that "all immigrants who can stand on their own two feet, self-sufficient, pull themselves up by their bootstraps" would be welcome in the U.S. (Colby ltkowitz and Felicia Sonmez) Page 12937 EFTA00043448
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SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ: Stephen Colbert mocked Cuccinelli for his comments: The New York mayor's office also responded to Cuccinelli's words: Trump lashed out at critics who he said are "blaming him" for the crisis in Hong Kong: The top House Republican expressed support for the islanders: So did the speaker: South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg had a grim conversation with a voter in Iowa: Buttigieg also went down the giant slide: After seeing a segment on Fox News, Trump endorsed Curt Srhillinn'c nnccihip, nnnnnaccinnal narnnainn in Ari7nna• Page 12938 EFTA00043449
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\OS,. 1.....4".•••••••• SOSO. I I And Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) wished lefties a happy day: VIDEOS OF THE DAY: Stephen Colbert joked that Trump is acting like a cartoon villain: Trevor Noah questioned Fox News host Tucker Carlson's sudden vacation: You received this email because you signed up for The Daily 202 or because it is included in your subscription. Manage my email newsletters and alerts I Unsubscribe from The Daily 202 Privacy Policy I Help O2019 The Washington Post I 1301 K St NW, Washington DC 20071 Page 12939 EFTA00043450
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From: The Washin ton Post <email@washingtonpost.com> To: Subject: The Daily 202: Clouds of economic uncertainty loom despite temporary reprieve from Trump on China tariffs Sent: Wed. 14 Aug 2019 14:23:34 +0000 If you're having trouble reading this, click here. Share: InListen to The Big Idea Clouds of economic uncertainty loom despite temporary reprieve from Trump on China tariffs Trump says China tariffs delayed for 'Christmas season' BY JAMES HOHMANN with Mariana Allaro THE BIG IDEA: If President Trump wanted to stabilize the listing stock market, his Tuesday announcement that he will temporarily postpone the implementation of about half the tariffs on Chinese imports that he announced 12 days earlier did the trick. But only for the day. Companies whose supply chains depend on China, from Apple and Best Buy to Mattel and Nike. saw their share prices edge up. The fundamentals have not changed. In fact, they continue to worsen. And stocks tumbled this morning when the markets opened. For the first time since 2007, the yields on short-term U.S. bonds eclipsed those of long-term bonds. This phenomenon. called the inverted yield curve. has preceded every recession in the past 50 years. EFTA00043455
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Bigger picture, the United States remains engaged in a trade war with China, the world's second-largest economy, with no end in sight. Trump's insistence that he still plans to impose all the previously announced duties on Dec. 15 forces corporate chieftains to prepare for more troubled waters ahead. Many analysts said the delay does nothing to mitigate the ominous clouds of uncertainty that hang over the economy. "Trade wars are good and easy to win," Trump said last year. That was wrong. Beyond the inverted yield curve, economists are pointing to a litany of other early warning signs that indicate a recession looms, despite the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates. There's already been a decline in business investment, and some companies are pulling back on hiring. Yesterday, Trump came closer than he has before to acknowledging that his tariffs on Chinese imports are really taxes on American consumers. He's been falsely claiming that the Chinese are paying the full price of his tariffs. "We are doing this for the Christmas season, just in case some of the tariffs would have an impact on U.S. consumers," the president told reporters, as he prepared to fly to a speech in western Pennsylvania. It's no coincidence that the products that got a carve-out from the planned 10 percent tariff on $300 billion worth of imports are consumer goods such as cellphones, laptops, strollers and sneakers. Higher prices might have caused sticker shock over the holidays. The prior tariffs, which have gone into effect, mostly increased the price of component parts that companies use to assemble something else. These new tariffs would hit finished goods such as iPhones, which are assembled in China, making it more likely that the higher costs are passed on to consumers. EFTA00043456
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President Trump speaks to contractors on Monday at the Shell Chemicals Petrochemical Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Jeff Swensen/Getty Images) Trump wants to win reelection, and he's sensitive to the markets. The result has been a series of erratic policy announcements that often appear to be improvisational and that cause whiplash for the markets. It sometimes feels as if Trump is practicina the "madman theory" in trade negotiations. Is he being crazy? Or crazy like a fox? For example, how seriously are we to take it when Trump threatens, as he did yesterday, to pull out of the World Trade Organization? "It's complete manipulation," said Kenny Polcari of Butcher Joseph Asset Management. "[Trump] threatens the market, by surprise, two weeks ago. The markets re-price. Then he says, 'I think we are going to delay those tariffs.' ... The [algorithms] respond immediately and take the market higher," Polcari told my colleagues Taylor Telford and Thomas Heath. "Of course the market is going to rally!" "We are all just one tweet away from significant volatility," RSM chief economist Joe Brusuelas wrote in a note to his clients after Trump's tariff postponement. "The idea that this is a major source of relief to the economy is not tethered to empirical reality." "We were relieved. But does that stop the volatility and instability? No," said Jay Foreman, chief executive of the Florida-based toy company Basic Fun. Foreman told the Associated Press yesterday that he's still considering layoffs this fall to offset his higher costs and noted that, despite Trump's reprieve, tariffs remain a severe threat. "The climbdown over the China tariffs does not mean a trade deal is now near, not least because China's authorities currently face a much bigger problem, namely, the challenge to their legitimacy in Hong Kong, and that will take precedence," wrote Pantheon Macroeconomics chief economist Ian Shepherdson in a note to EFTA00043457
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investors that Tory Newmyer covered in this morning's Finance 202. "But we can fully understand markets' relief at the lifting of the threat of tariffs on consumer goods just ahead of the holiday shopping season." Traders on on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. (Richard Drew/AP) -- U.S. businesses have begun taking down job listings because of the uncertainty caused by the trade war: "Win Cramer had big plans to hire several new employees this summer for his company, including a chief operating officer, but he took the job listings down after Trump tweeted that more tariffs would hit Chinese goods in September," our economics correspondent Heather Long reported yesterday. "'It's the most frustrating time I've ever had running a business, and I've been doing this for 20 years,' said Cramer, chief executive of JLab Audio, which makes wireless earbuds and headphones sold at Best Buy, Target and elsewhere. "The United States had 7.3 million job openings in June, down from a peak of 7.6 million in November. ... While the decline is modest, economists are concerned hiring could dry up quickly as companies see no end in sight to Trump's trade war and they look to cut costs. The reduction in job openings is also widespread across many industries, signaling how cautious companies are becoming. A decrease in job openings has tended to be a signal of economic trouble. ... Job openings peaked in April 2007, for example, nine months before the start of the Great Recession. Job openings in many industries have declined since November, including the information sector, financial services, transportation and warehousing, and hotels and food service, suggesting wide concern about future growth. Actual hires also have slowed this year, with average monthly job gains falling to 165,000 a month, down from 223,000 a month last year." -- "Uncertainty" is the buzzword that keeps coming up in notes EFTA00043458
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from Wall Street institutions to their clients that seem to become gloomier with each passing day: "Trade's simmer has begun to boil, business sentiment and capital spending have softened further, global growth remains weak and inflation expectations have fallen," Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner wrote on Monday. "Heightened market volatility and increased news flow on trade may soften consumer sentiment and spending." Goldman Sachs said Sunday it does not expect a trade deal between the U.S. and China before the 2020 election. "Fears that the trade war will trigger a recession are growing," wrote Goldman's chief U.S. economist, Jan Hatzius, explaining why growth projections are being lowered. "Overall, we have increased our estimate of the growth impact of the trade war. The drivers of this modest change are that we now include an estimate of the sentiment and uncertainty effects ... Relatedly, the business sentiment effect of increased pessimism about the outlook from trade war news may lead firms to invest, hire, or produce less." Tugboats manuever a container ship last week at a port in eastern China's Shandong province. (Chinatopix via AP) "We are worried," Bank of America Merrill Lynch chief economist Michelle Meyer wrote Friday. "We now have a number of early indicators starting to signal heightened risk of recession. Our official model has the probability of a recession over the next 12 months only pegged at about 20 percent, but our subjective call based on the slew of data and events leads us to believe it is closer to a 1-in- 3 chance. ... Three out of the five economic indicators (auto sales, industrial production, and aggregate hours worked) which track the business cycle closely are near levels consistent at the start of the previous recessions." EFTA00043459
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More dark mood music: • Inflation in the United States was slightly higher last month than expected: The Labor Department announced yesterday that the consumer price index rose 0.3 percent in July. That's modest but was above analyst predictions. • U.S. mortgage debt reached a record in the second quarter, exceeding its 2008 peak as the financial crisis unfolded. "Mortgage balances rose by $162 billion in the second quarter to $9.406 trillion, surpassing the high of $9.294 trillion in the third quarter of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Tuesday," per the Wall Street Journal. • China's economy is faltering: "The jobless rate in Chinese cities again rebounded in July to its highest level since regular reporting on the data began, as employers turned cautious," today's Journal reports. "Other key economic readings for the month, including factory production, consumption and property investment, came in much lower than expected." • Germany's economy shrank slightly last quarter. Europe's biggest economy suffered from falling exports, and the auto industry is struggling to adjust to new emissions standards, per the AP. • The British economy also unexpectedly shrank, for the first time since 2012, because of uncertainties surrounding Brexit. -- Finally, some good news: We're hiring! I'm looking for an ambitious reporter to help me write The Daily 202. This is a demanding job that requires a news junkie and a creative thinker who is skilled at connecting the dots about news developments in Washington, around the country and the world. The ideal candidate will have a track record of writing conceptual scoops in the political arena, examining key developments in the White House, Congress or on the campaign trail in a fresh and original light. That candidate should be able to identify key EFTA00043460
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themes and story lines from the slew of news that breaks on a daily basis, and skillfully synthesize those events in a meaningful and revelatory way for readers. This position is based in our Washington newsroom. (Read the full job posting here.) Email me at James.HohmannOwashpost.com if you have questions or ideas. Subscribe on Amazon Echo Google Home, Apple HomePod and other podcast players. Welcome to the Daily 202, PowerPost's morning briefing for decision-makers. Sign up to receive the newsletter. WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING: Rod Blagojevich, with his wife, Patti, at his side, speaks to reporters in Chicago before reporting to federal prison in 2012. (M. Spencer Green/AP) -- Trump appears to have backed away from what had been imminent plans to commute the sentence of former Illinois governor Rod Blagojevich in the face of massive Republican blowback, CNN reports: "Several Republican lawmakers called acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and White House counsel Pat Cipollone. At least two of them, Reps. Darin LaHood and Mike Bost, made their case directly to the President on Thursday night, urging him not to go forward. ... Another White House official said that while Blagojevich's pardon seemed imminent late last week, there had been no movement on the matter since Trump spoke with the two congressmen. It appeared to be on ice, the official said, while offering EFTA00043461
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the caveat that Trump could change his mind and decide to move forward. "Multiple sources familiar with the calls said Trump and Mulvaney both did not seem aware of the details of Blagojevich's case, even though the president had decried the former governor as being treated 'unbelievably unfairly.' ... Trump's son-in-law and senior adviser Jared Kushner had been funneling messages of support for Blagojevich's commutation to the president ... Trump adviser and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani also made it clear to Trump that Blagojevich's sentence was too harsh. Bernard Kerik, a former NYPD commissioner who served time in prison on a tax fraud conviction and has been advocating for Blagojevich, slammed the opposition." Jeffress celebrates Freedom Sunday with his congregants in Dallas on June 30. (Ilana Panich- Linsman for The Washington Post) 2020 WATCH: -- Opinion columnist Elizabeth Bruenig went to her home state of Texas for a deep dive into why Trump seems poised to fare even better among evangelicals in 2020 than he did in 2016. Partly this is because they are culture warriors and want to get another ally on the Supreme Court, of course, but she concludes that it's also because "the backlash against them has cemented so much of what they already suspected about liberals' attitudes." "Overall, American culture is hardly trending toward adherence to evangelical beliefs, with approval of same-sex marriage steadily rising among all religious groups (even evangelicals), religious affiliation quickly dropping, and support for legal abortion lingering at all-time EFTA00043462