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has come under greater scrutiny following Epstein's arrest 
last month. Dershowitz, an emeritus Harvard University law 
professor, is also fending off a defamation suit filed by 
set for key oral arguments next month, in which 
Boies has become a vital player. Because Epstein's death 
will end his criminal case, the 
defamation action 
against Dershowitz could be one of the dwindling number of 
cases that would allow for the full public airing of numerous 
accusations against Epstein that his alleged victims have 
long sought." 
Trump 'tired' of taxpayers paying for immigrants 
-- The "Send her back!" chant continues to reverberate 
in Greenville, N.C., where Trump held a rally weeks 
before the El Paso shootings. For some voters there, 
the chant echoes as a prelude to murder. Griff Witte 
reports: "Samar Badwan, a Greenville resident, watched that 
day as 8,000 neighbors and fellow citizens jammed a local 
basketball arena to serenade the president with chants of 
`Send her back,' a response to Trump's insistence that a 
Muslim, Somali American congresswoman should `go back' 
to the land of her birth. 
Before that day, Badwan had 
never had to question whether her hijab was incompatible 
with her Southern drawl. She never had to fear that her 
North Carolina neighbors might hold her Palestinian heritage 
against her. She never had to think that in Greenville — a 
city she has been proud to call home for 30 years, raising 
three children along the way — her faith would mark her as 
an unwanted outsider. Then the president came to town." 
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-- A little girl begged for her father's release after he 
was captured during the ICE raids in Mississippi. A 
week later, he's still detained. From CNN: "Andres 
Gomez-Jorge is being held at the Adams County 
Correctional Facility in Natchez, Mississippi. His family 
spoke on the phone with him briefly Tuesday for the first 
time since his arrest. The call came hours after CNN 
published a story saying that the family didn't know his 
whereabouts and feared for his well-being." 
-- U.S. citizens are lining up for jobs in rural 
Mississippi that have opened up because of the ICE 
raids, which resulted in the arrest of hundreds of 
immigrant workers. Jonnelle Marte reports: "In a state 
where the poultry industry is one of the biggest drivers of the 
economy, some of the job applicants said they hoped the 
opportunities at Koch Foods, one of the meatpacking plants 
targeted by the raids, would improve their finances in both 
substantial and incremental ways. They arrived seeking a 
steadier paycheck. A slightly higher wage. A more 
accommodating schedule. ... Even as many of the job 
hunters pondered the ways the chicken-processing jobs 
might bring them more stability, many of the workers — who 
were required to bring two forms of identification to the job 
fair — said they sympathized with the [detained employees] 
... Their sentiments challenge the narratives that typically 
drive the immigration debate in the United States, pitting 
undocumented workers against Americans seeking 
opportunity." 
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-- D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser (D) said she will not 
accept a federal government plan to house 
unaccompanied migrant children in Washington. Fenit 
Nirappil reports: "Bowser was reacting to an application from 
Dynamic Service Solutions, a federal contractor, to open a 
temporary shelter for children in the District. The company 
has been advertising job listings for educators, caseworkers 
and medical staff members to work with 'unaccompanied 
alien' children in the nation's capital. ... The proposed facility 
would house as many as 242 children, according to a 
person familiar with the contractor's application to the city. 
Some members of the D.C. Council said they were under 
the impression that the shelter would be located on private 
property in Takoma, a Northwest D.C. neighborhood near 
the Maryland border." 
-- A House panel with jurisdiction over firearms is 
expected to return early from recess to vote on new 
gun-control measures. "But there's one problem: 
Democrats are privately sparring over what exactly to 
approve," Rachael Bade and Paul Kane report. "House 
Democrats universally agree on expanding background 
checks, legislation they easily passed in February. They've 
also coalesced around proposals restricting high-capacity 
magazines, instituting `red flag' laws that keep guns from 
individuals showing warning signs of violence, and 
potentially even legislation on hate crimes — ideas the 
House Judiciary Committee is expected to consider the 
week of Labor Day, according to two people familiar with the 
f. .11 
;,-. 
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pica 
vveen UCIUIC LI IC I Ull I IUUJC IJ Ul I iutaity 
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return. But there's still disagreement on whether the House 
should advance legislation reinstating an assault weapons 
ban that expired 15 years ago." 
-- Gun-control groups are trying to build on the 
momentum after El Paso and Dayton. Amy B Wang. 
Tom Hamburger, Josh Dawsey and Marissa J. Lang repod: 
'People are fed up. This keeps on happening,' Christian 
Heyne, vice president of policy for the Brady Campaign to 
Prevent Gun Violence. `The response to this from a small 
few people in one body of our federal government of 
Congress is the same. That's unbelievably frustrating.' 
Simultaneously, the groups are emboldened by what they 
see as a vacuum created by turmoil within the National Rifle 
Association. (The NRA denies its influence is slipping and 
has been talking directly to the president and others in the 
White House.) Gun-control activists are also aware of - if 
not completely reassured by — Trump's comments that he 
would support expanded background checks." 
-- FBI agents found 25 guns and 10,000 rounds of 
ammunition in an Ohio teen's bedroom after he 
threatened to assault a law enforcement officer. From 
WGN-TV: "According to court documents, the user posted 
a threat to assault federal law enforcement officers writing, 
`shoot every agent on sight,' in a discussion about the 
Branch Davidian standoff in Waco in 1993." 
-- "It's been 5 years since a police officer killed my son, 
Michael Brown. Nothing has changed." Lezley 
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McSpadden, the chief executive and founder of the Michael 
O.D. Brown Foundation, writes in an op-ed for The Post: 
"For many young black and brown people, the police too 
often feel like an occupying force in their neighborhoods 
instead of a force for good. A new study of young adults 
from the GenForward Survey at the University of Chicago 
found that while most white young adults believe you can 
trust the police 'always' or 'often' to do what is right, less 
than a third of young African Americans believe the same. 
Similarly, nearly half of African Americans ages 18 to 36 say 
they 'always' or 'often' go out of their way to avoid contact 
with the police or other law enforcement, compared with 
slightly more than a quarter of white young adults." 
-- The New York Times demoted its congressional 
editor after he made problematic comments on Twitter. 
Paul Farhi reports: "The editor, Jonathan Weisman, came 
under fire for tweets questioning whether Reps. Rashida 
Tlaib (D-Mich.) and Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) actually 
represented the Midwest and whether Reps. Lloyd Doggett 
(D-Tex.) and John Lewis (D-Ga.) represented the Deep 
South, given that their districts are primarily urban and 
heavily minority. Weisman said he was questioning whether 
the districts truly reflected the broader politics of their 
regions, which are predominantly white and more rural. He 
deleted the tweets after they were roundly criticized as 
racist. He later asked author and Times contributor Roxane 
Gay for an `enormous apology' in an email after she called 
him out for those tweets and for criticizing him for identifying 
another conoresswoman as African American without 
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mentioning that her primary challenger is also African 
American. Gay posted Weisman's email to her and her 
assistant and criticized him for his `audacity and entitlement' 
for contacting her and her publisher to demand the apology. 
A Times spokeswoman, Eileen Murphy, said Weisman had 
apologized to Executive Editor Dean Baguet for `his recent 
serious lapses in judgment,' but that he has been demoted 
and will no longer edit the newspaper's coverage of 
Congress. The Times didn't specify what Weisman's duties 
will be. The paper also said he would no longer be active on 
social media." 
QUOTE OF THE DAY: "Give me your tired and your 
poor who can stand on their own two feet and who 
will not become a public charge," said Ken Cuccinelli, 
the acting director of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration 
Services, in a twist of Emma Lazarus's famous 
words etched on the Statue of Liberty. Cuccinelli 
added that "all immigrants who can stand on their own two 
feet, self-sufficient, pull themselves up by their 
bootstraps" would be welcome in the U.S. (Colby ltkowitz 
and Felicia Sonmez) 
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SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ: 
Stephen Colbert mocked Cuccinelli for his comments: 
The New York mayor's office also responded to Cuccinelli's 
words: 
Trump lashed out at critics who he said are "blaming him" 
for the crisis in Hong Kong: 
The top House Republican expressed support for the 
islanders: 
So did the speaker: 
South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg had a grim 
conversation with a voter in Iowa: 
Buttigieg also went down the giant slide: 
After seeing a segment on Fox News, Trump endorsed Curt 
Srhillinn'c nnccihip, nnnnnaccinnal narnnainn in Ari7nna• 
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\OS,. 
 
 
1.....4".•••••••• SOSO. 
I 
I 
And Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) wished lefties 
a happy day: 
VIDEOS OF THE DAY: 
Stephen Colbert joked that Trump is acting like a cartoon 
villain: 
Trevor Noah questioned Fox News host Tucker Carlson's 
sudden vacation: 
You received this email because you signed up for The Daily 202 or because it is included in your 
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Manage my email newsletters and alerts I Unsubscribe from The Daily 202 
Privacy Policy I Help 
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The Daly 202: Clouds of economic uncenainty loom despite temporary reprieve from Tnstp on China tariffs 
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From: 
The Washin ton Post <email@washingtonpost.com> 
To: 
Subject: 
The Daily 202: Clouds of economic uncertainty loom despite temporary reprieve from Trump on China tariffs 
Sent: 
Wed. 14 Aug 2019 14:23:34 +0000 
If you're having trouble reading this, click here. 
Share: 
InListen to The Big Idea 
Clouds of economic uncertainty loom despite 
temporary reprieve from Trump on China tariffs 
Trump says China tariffs delayed for 'Christmas season' 
BY JAMES HOHMANN 
with Mariana Allaro 
THE BIG IDEA: If President Trump wanted to stabilize the listing 
stock market, his Tuesday announcement that he will temporarily 
postpone the implementation of about half the tariffs on Chinese 
imports that he announced 12 days earlier did the trick. But only 
for the day. Companies whose supply chains depend on China, from 
Apple and Best Buy to Mattel and Nike. saw their share prices edge up. 
The fundamentals have not changed. In fact, they continue to 
worsen. And stocks tumbled this morning when the markets 
opened. For the first time since 2007, the yields on short-term U.S. 
bonds eclipsed those of long-term bonds. This phenomenon. called the 
inverted yield curve. has preceded every recession in the past 50 years. 
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Bigger picture, the United States remains engaged in a trade war 
with China, the world's second-largest economy, with no end in 
sight. Trump's insistence that he still plans to impose all the previously 
announced duties on Dec. 15 forces corporate chieftains to prepare for 
more troubled waters ahead. Many analysts said the delay does nothing 
to mitigate the ominous clouds of uncertainty that hang over the 
economy. "Trade wars are good and easy to win," Trump said last year. 
That was wrong. 
Beyond the inverted yield curve, economists are pointing to a 
litany of other early warning signs that indicate a recession looms, 
despite the Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates. 
There's already been a decline in business investment, and some 
companies are pulling back on hiring. 
Yesterday, Trump came closer than he has before to 
acknowledging that his tariffs on Chinese imports are really taxes 
on American consumers. He's been falsely claiming that the Chinese 
are paying the full price of his tariffs. "We are doing this for the 
Christmas season, just in case some of the tariffs would have an impact 
on U.S. consumers," the president told reporters, as he prepared to fly 
to a speech in western Pennsylvania. 
It's no coincidence that the products that got a carve-out from the 
planned 10 percent tariff on $300 billion worth of imports are 
consumer goods such as cellphones, laptops, strollers and 
sneakers. Higher prices might have caused sticker shock over the 
holidays. The prior tariffs, which have gone into effect, mostly 
increased the price of component parts that companies use to assemble 
something else. These new tariffs would hit finished goods such as 
iPhones, which are assembled in China, making it more likely that the 
higher costs are passed on to consumers. 
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President Trump speaks to contractors on Monday at the Shell Chemicals Petrochemical Complex in 
Monaca, Pa. (Jeff Swensen/Getty Images) 
Trump wants to win reelection, and he's sensitive to the markets. 
The result has been a series of erratic policy announcements that 
often appear to be improvisational and that cause whiplash for the 
markets. It sometimes feels as if Trump is practicina the "madman 
theory" in trade negotiations. Is he being crazy? Or crazy like a fox? For 
example, how seriously are we to take it when Trump threatens, as he 
did yesterday, to pull out of the World Trade Organization? 
"It's complete manipulation," said Kenny Polcari of Butcher 
Joseph Asset Management. "[Trump] threatens the market, by 
surprise, two weeks ago. The markets re-price. Then he says, 'I think we 
are going to delay those tariffs.' ... The [algorithms] respond 
immediately and take the market higher," Polcari told my colleagues 
Taylor Telford and Thomas Heath. "Of course the market is going to 
rally!" 
"We are all just one tweet away from significant volatility," RSM 
chief economist Joe Brusuelas wrote in a note to his clients after 
Trump's tariff postponement. "The idea that this is a major source of 
relief to the economy is not tethered to empirical reality." 
"We were relieved. But does that stop the volatility and instability? 
No," said Jay Foreman, chief executive of the Florida-based toy 
company Basic Fun. Foreman told the Associated Press yesterday 
that he's still considering layoffs this fall to offset his higher costs and 
noted that, despite Trump's reprieve, tariffs remain a severe threat. 
"The climbdown over the China tariffs does not mean a trade deal 
is now near, not least because China's authorities currently face a 
much bigger problem, namely, the challenge to their legitimacy in 
Hong Kong, and that will take precedence," wrote Pantheon 
Macroeconomics chief economist Ian Shepherdson in a note to 
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investors that Tory Newmyer covered in this morning's Finance 202. 
"But we can fully understand markets' relief at the lifting of the threat of 
tariffs on consumer goods just ahead of the holiday shopping season." 
Traders on on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. (Richard Drew/AP) 
-- U.S. businesses have begun taking down job listings because of 
the uncertainty caused by the trade war: "Win Cramer had big plans 
to hire several new employees this summer for his company, including a 
chief operating officer, but he took the job listings down after Trump 
tweeted that more tariffs would hit Chinese goods in September," our 
economics correspondent Heather Long reported yesterday. "'It's the 
most frustrating time I've ever had running a business, and I've been 
doing this for 20 years,' said Cramer, chief executive of JLab Audio, 
which makes wireless earbuds and headphones sold at Best Buy, 
Target and elsewhere. 
"The United States had 7.3 million job openings in June, down from 
a peak of 7.6 million in November. ... While the decline is modest, 
economists are concerned hiring could dry up quickly as companies see 
no end in sight to Trump's trade war and they look to cut costs. The 
reduction in job openings is also widespread across many industries, 
signaling how cautious companies are becoming. A decrease in job 
openings has tended to be a signal of economic trouble. ... Job 
openings peaked in April 2007, for example, nine months before the 
start of the Great Recession. Job openings in many industries have 
declined since November, including the information sector, financial 
services, transportation and warehousing, and hotels and food service, 
suggesting wide concern about future growth. Actual hires also have 
slowed this year, with average monthly job gains falling to 165,000 a 
month, down from 223,000 a month last year." 
-- "Uncertainty" is the buzzword that keeps coming up in notes 
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from Wall Street institutions to their clients that seem to become 
gloomier with each passing day: 
"Trade's simmer has begun to boil, business sentiment and capital 
spending have softened further, global growth remains weak and 
inflation expectations have fallen," Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner 
wrote on Monday. "Heightened market volatility and increased news 
flow on trade may soften consumer sentiment and spending." 
Goldman Sachs said Sunday it does not expect a trade deal 
between the U.S. and China before the 2020 election. "Fears that the 
trade war will trigger a recession are growing," wrote Goldman's chief 
U.S. economist, Jan Hatzius, explaining why growth projections are 
being lowered. "Overall, we have increased our estimate of the growth 
impact of the trade war. The drivers of this modest change are that we 
now include an estimate of the sentiment and uncertainty effects ... 
Relatedly, the business sentiment effect of increased pessimism about 
the outlook from trade war news may lead firms to invest, hire, or 
produce less." 
Tugboats manuever a container ship last week at a port in eastern China's Shandong province. (Chinatopix 
via AP) 
"We are worried," Bank of America Merrill Lynch chief economist 
Michelle Meyer wrote Friday. "We now have a number of early 
indicators starting to signal heightened risk of recession. Our official 
model has the probability of a recession over the next 12 months 
only pegged at about 20 percent, but our subjective call based on 
the slew of data and events leads us to believe it is closer to a 1-in-
3 chance. ... Three out of the five economic indicators (auto sales, 
industrial production, and aggregate hours worked) which track the 
business cycle closely are near levels consistent at the start of the 
previous recessions." 
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More dark mood music: 
• Inflation in the United States was slightly higher last month 
than expected: The Labor Department announced yesterday that 
the consumer price index rose 0.3 percent in July. That's modest but 
was above analyst predictions. 
• U.S. mortgage debt reached a record in the second quarter, 
exceeding its 2008 peak as the financial crisis unfolded. 
"Mortgage balances rose by $162 billion in the second quarter to 
$9.406 trillion, surpassing the high of $9.294 trillion in the third 
quarter of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said 
Tuesday," per the Wall Street Journal. 
• China's economy is faltering: "The jobless rate in Chinese cities 
again rebounded in July to its highest level since regular reporting 
on the data began, as employers turned cautious," today's Journal 
reports. "Other key economic readings for the month, including 
factory production, consumption and property investment, came in 
much lower than expected." 
• Germany's economy shrank slightly last quarter. Europe's 
biggest economy suffered from falling exports, and the auto industry 
is struggling to adjust to new emissions standards, per the AP. 
• The British economy also unexpectedly shrank, for the first 
time since 2012, because of uncertainties surrounding Brexit. 
-- Finally, some good news: We're hiring! I'm looking for an 
ambitious reporter to help me write The Daily 202. This is a 
demanding job that requires a news junkie and a creative thinker who is 
skilled at connecting the dots about news developments in Washington, 
around the country and the world. The ideal candidate will have a track 
record of writing conceptual scoops in the political arena, examining key 
developments in the White House, Congress or on the campaign trail in 
a fresh and original light. That candidate should be able to identify key 
EFTA00043460
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themes and story lines from the slew of news that breaks on a daily 
basis, and skillfully synthesize those events in a meaningful and 
revelatory way for readers. This position is based in our Washington 
newsroom. (Read the full job posting here.) Email me at 
James.HohmannOwashpost.com if you have questions or ideas. 
Subscribe on Amazon Echo Google Home, Apple HomePod and other podcast 
players. 
Welcome to the Daily 202, PowerPost's morning briefing for 
decision-makers. 
Sign up to receive the newsletter. 
WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING: 
Rod Blagojevich, with his wife, Patti, at his side, speaks to reporters in Chicago before reporting to federal 
prison in 2012. (M. Spencer Green/AP) 
-- Trump appears to have backed away from what had been 
imminent plans to commute the sentence of former Illinois 
governor Rod Blagojevich in the face of massive Republican 
blowback, CNN reports: "Several Republican lawmakers called acting 
White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and White House counsel Pat 
Cipollone. At least two of them, Reps. Darin LaHood and Mike Bost, 
made their case directly to the President on Thursday night, urging him 
not to go forward. ... Another White House official said that while 
Blagojevich's pardon seemed imminent late last week, there had been 
no movement on the matter since Trump spoke with the two 
congressmen. It appeared to be on ice, the official said, while offering 
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the caveat that Trump could change his mind and decide to move 
forward. 
"Multiple sources familiar with the calls said Trump and Mulvaney 
both did not seem aware of the details of Blagojevich's case, even 
though the president had decried the former governor as being treated 
'unbelievably unfairly.' ... Trump's son-in-law and senior adviser Jared 
Kushner had been funneling messages of support for Blagojevich's 
commutation to the president ... Trump adviser and former New York 
City Mayor Rudy Giuliani also made it clear to Trump that Blagojevich's 
sentence was too harsh. Bernard Kerik, a former NYPD commissioner 
who served time in prison on a tax fraud conviction and has been 
advocating for Blagojevich, slammed the opposition." 
Jeffress celebrates Freedom Sunday with his congregants in Dallas on June 30. (Ilana Panich-
Linsman for The Washington Post) 
2020 WATCH: 
-- Opinion columnist Elizabeth Bruenig went to her home state of 
Texas for a deep dive into why Trump seems poised to fare even 
better among evangelicals in 2020 than he did in 2016. Partly this is 
because they are culture warriors and want to get another ally on the 
Supreme Court, of course, but she concludes that it's also because "the 
backlash against them has cemented so much of what they already 
suspected about liberals' attitudes." 
"Overall, American culture is hardly trending toward adherence to 
evangelical beliefs, with approval of same-sex marriage steadily rising 
among all religious groups (even evangelicals), religious affiliation 
quickly dropping, and support for legal abortion lingering at all-time 
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